Skip to main content

UMEME A RECOGNISED SUCCESS BUT …


 Recently the World Bank did a survey of the power utilities on the continent. Of the 39 utilities surveyed only two, in Uganda – Umeme and in Seychelles, were able to cover their operating costs and capital expenditures – maintenance and expansion of the grid.

The report went on to point out that only 19 or about half of the surveyed utilities were able to meet their everyday costs like salaries.

Essentially most of our power utilities on the continent are technically bankrupt. This has far reaching ramifications for the industry as a whole.

When you, the client, pays your bill, Umeme then passes money up the line to pay the transmission and generation companies. If Umeme does not collect the revenues due to it or does not price the power at an appropriate rate, the pain will be felt up and down the sector.

The transmission company would not be able to maintain and extend its network and the generation company would not be able to generate efficiently or build new power dams.

To a large extent Uganda has got the management of the power sector right.

Previously there was one giant utility called Uganda Electricity Board (UEB) which did everything from generate, transmission and distribution of power.

Given the low power coverage it was decided to break up UEB into –generation, transmission and distribution companies and create a regulatory authority for the sector. The reasons for this were mainly two, to attract investment into the sector and to increase the efficiency of the constituent companies.

The policy has paid of handsomely. Since then Uganda has more than doubled generation capacity to the current 850MW, and another doubling of this capacity due within the next 18 months,  and Umeme has increased consumer accounts to 1.125 million from less than 200,000 when  Umeme took over the concession in 2005.

This would not have been possible without Umeme increasing its collection efficiency – we now collect all the money from power billed and a judicious pricing mechanism overseen by the Electricity Regulatory Authority(ERA).

The increased collection has come in no small measure due to our roll out of prepaid meters, three quarters of consumers are now connected, which account for sh20 of every sh100 we collect.

Umeme has invested more than $150m in the network during the period, a part of the almost $2b invested in the industry, which would not have been possible if Umeme was one of those floundering power utility companies the World Bank surveyed.

While we are proud of our record at Umeme we are very aware pf the huge responsibility we have to the whole sector and the overall economy.

We are doing everything within our powers to ensure that power is distributed efficiently and to more and more people. The World Bank figure of only 26.7 percent of Ugandans having access to power in 2016, is unacceptable and a real stumbling block to our development ambitions.

This number for neighbor Kenya is 56 percent, South Africa 84.4 percent and Mauritius 98.8 percent.
This points to the fact that a lot of investment in the sector is required in coming years, which investments will out of necessity feed into the end user tariff.

The government has pledged to lower tariffs to industry to about $5 cents. We too are committed to this goal.

However there has to be a tradeoff.

We can allow the tariffs in the interim to reflect the growing investment in the sector needed to increase coverage and the reliability of power supply in the short term or force the tariff down now and slow down the investment process in the sector. We cannot have it both ways.

Let us not ignore the fact that our relatively high power tariff is a function, in no small part, to a lack of investment in the sector in the 1970s and 1980s and that we are playing catch up.

(AUGUST 2018)

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

HOW TO RECOGNISE A PONZI AND NOT FALL VICTIM

Another Ponzi scheme has come crashing down around the ears of hundreds of “investors”. Unsurprisingly. In its recent reincarnation poor Ugandans were lured into a scheme where they bought computer tablets. This entitled them to a monthly pay off, $100, and a Christmas bonus for their children. In this case the unsuspecting investors -cum -victims were being given a share certificate. Meaning you accept to take the part of the risk in this project. Which was inadvertently reducing their burden of risk and liability for the issuing company. I leave that area to smart lawyers to handle.   As is always the case with these things, it’s not quite clear where the pay-out will come from. A common characteristic of these schemes is that you might get initial payments before you starting missing a few and the stories begin. The promoters of these schemes or scams often use the money from the latest entrants to pay the older “investors” until one of two things happen. Either...

SPORTS AS AN ANALOGY FOR BUSINESS

Like everybody else I know, my spirit was lifted by the success of our athletes at the World Athletics Championships last week. The diminutive Halima Nakaayi showed the heart of a lion, sprinting over the last 100m of the women’s 800m event to snatch victory from a more favoured American runner. It was so uplifting to watch. Subsequent stories about the challenges she has had to overcome to get where she is now were testament to the determination of the woman. Joshua Cheptegei’s victory, while no less inspiring, had a different quality to it. Cheptegei was the man to watch going into the event. He won previously at the Commonwealth Games last year and the in the just concluded Golden League. He was a silver medalist in the 10,000m at the last World Championships in London, pipped to the tape by the now retired Mo Farah. Cheptgei still had to battle the Kenyans and the Ethiopians all the way. But as a favourite he lived up to expectations, which sometimes is more diffic...

BEWARE OF THE CON MAN

I read with a mixture of horror and sympathy for the victims of the latest Ponzi scheme gone bad in town. Last week a company, Global Cryptocurrencies Ltd, collapsed and along with it went billions of shillings, by police estimates, of their clients’ money. The company working out of an obscure office on Namirembe road, managed to rope in all manner of clients with the promise of magical returns – 40% a week! I have been in business for most of my life, if I could be guaranteed 40% week I would sell everything I own and jump in with both feet. Or maybe not. And this is why. They say if anything is too good to be true, it is. If you can get an annual return of 40% on your investment you will be doing extremely well. So if you put in a million shillings in your business and walk away at the end of the year with sh400,000 after taxes you have found a good thing, and I would like to be your friend. I have seen my share of scam artists and con men. Below are my fast an...

NOT ONLY THE HARDWARE BUT THE SOFTWARE TOO

In the middle of September the United Nations released its annual Human Development Indicator (HDI). This index serves as an indicator of the quality of life of a country’s people by measuring the health, education, inequality, poverty and security standards. Aside from the statistical measures of development like GDP growth, this is obviously a better measure of how people are actually doing. In this year’s HDI report Uganda was ranked 162 out of 189 countries with a HDI score of 0.516. The index goes from zero to one, the nearer you are to one the better. Our score puts us in the low human development category. But as bad as that sounds we have been worse. In 1990, the earliest year that these figures were compiled our score was 0.311 even the UN recognises that we have improved 66 percent in the last three decades. According to the UN figures life expectancy has risen to 60.2 years   from 45.5 in 1990; expected years of schooling has doubled to 11.6 fr...

KEEP UP PRESSURE ON CORRUPTION

There has been a flurry of activity surrounding corruption in recent weeks, with a few public officials caught red handed taking bribes. The public deprived of services because of a few greedy individuals are understandably gleeful.  However they are also those who are a bit sceptical, wondering whether this campaign will last or will peter out along the way. It is heartening to see that President Yoweri Museveni has put his full weight behind the latest attempt and provides a positive signal to all parties concerned. He should be supported by every well-meaning Ugandan so that this drive does not fizzle out in a few weeks. I choose to be optimistic about this anti-corruption drive, because rolling back the endemic that corruption has become, is one of the first steps we need to take towards attaining middle income status as a nation and for any other meaningful development we hope to see in the future. We see it in our daily lives. Beyond the moralit...

THE GOOD THAT CAN COME OF THE NEW UGANDA AIRLINES

I have fond memories of the Old Uganda Airlines. As a secondary school child, I took advantage of ticket concessions (my mother worked for Uganda Airlines) to fly to the UK to buy clothes and other goods for sale to my friends at school. These trips were a great adventure and served as a good foundation for the businessman I am today. It has been reported that the first two planes of the revived Uganda Airlines will be landing in the country within the month. The finance ministry has been presenting to parliament their needs to pay off deposits on the first two of six planes they are to take possession of in coming months. The project has its equal share of supporters and critics. I am a qualified supporter of the project. In business nothing is certain. We deal in probabilities. When getting into a venture we often must weigh the risks versus the returns of a project. If the risk of failure outweighs the potential profit we stay away, otherwise you are gambling...

FINANCING OUR ENTREPRENEURS, A CHALLENGE WE CANNOT IGNORE

In recent weeks the issues of financing for business has been in the news, in one form or the other. We have seen the challenge a past minister is facing with having to hang onto his home. The case is in court, so we can’t discuss its merits and demerits, just to say he may have fallen prey to some predatory practices, with the lender skirting dangerously on the edge of the law. Across the border in Kenya a cap on bank lending rates has been repealed. Three years ago Kenya’s parliament passed a law restricting lending rates to two percentage points above the rate at which the central bank lent money. In reaction banks pulled back their lending to businesses, depressing the economy and prompting the reversal. So now banks can “properly” price their loans, often to the discomfort of small and medium sized businesses. The two incidents are related and speak to the availability and cost of credit. In my business career I have benefitted immensely from credit. It is next...