Skip to main content

LOCAL CONTENT IS NOT A DONE DEAL, WE NEED TO DO MORE


This year’s “Oil & Gas Convention & Regional Logistics Expo2017” has just concluded after three days of discussion, exploration and soul searching.

First oil in Uganda is expected by 2020 and this Expo among other efforts are targeted at getting our local businessmen ready to take advantage of this historical development.

At the risk of sounding like a broken record, the discovery and eventual exploitation of our oil resource is one of those once in a generation events, that can transform this nation, not only on a macro level but also in our individual lives.

For starters at least $20b will be spent over the next three years in infrastructure development and other things that will ensure we are ready to pipe and refine our oil.

During the exploration phase about $3b was spent by the international oil companies, with on three in every ten dollars being retained here. That was an exploration phase and one hopes that we have learnt enough from that period to be able to retain more of the money that will be spent in coming years.

For starters there is a law in place that makes some provision specifically for local content as far as suppliers, employment and training and technological transfer.

The  Petroleum (National Content) Regulation 2016 for both the upstream – exploration, development and production and the mid-stream – Refining, conversion, transmission and mid-stream storage, were passed last year.

Further encouragement will come from evaluation of companies involved in the industry and their commitment to promoting local content. According to the law 10 percent of the evaluation score will depend on this.

In the same law it is provided that in joint ventures between local businessmen and foreigners in the industry the Ugandan partners must control at least 48 percent of the joint venture equity.

Speaking from my experience in working with foreign companies, while the spirit of this clause was good it is not very practical in our current circumstances.

For example, if a business required an equity  injection of $2m (sh7.3b) there are very few people with the financial muscle or  needed capacity locally,  to manage a project of that magnitude. This has negative implications for the sector in that it may frustrate investors and delay exploitation a bit longer.

No one is going to dish out 48 percent of their company free. At best they may give us a carry stake of at most three percent, just to satisfy some local participation requirements.

There are a few things that mitigate against such generosity from investing companies. 

In other countries like Angola, Nigeria and Equatoria Guinea for that matter which have a shore line, evacuating the oil is less costly than it will be for us. The higher costs cuts down investor margins and making it less likely that they will entertain freeloaders.

In South Africa because of their unique history more leeway was given to local investors under the Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) program.

The realistic thing is for our businessmen to look to creating meaningful linkages where they can benefit not only from the returns from the business but also from technology transfer and benchmarking their business processes against best practice.

For me the key will be how are these law operationalised by the technocrats and regulators.

For instance already incorporated in the law but a company’s fitness for a contract should be judged on a sliding scale on its commitment to local content promotion. The more local content a company has in terms of local equity partnership, employment of Ugandans, utilisation of local goods and services and technological transfer, the better chance it will have to win contracts in the industry.

But also in addition some smaller projects such as waste management and basic logistics should be ring-fenced for local businessmen.

However there should be encouragement for local business to increase their local content participation to the magic 48 percent over time without impinging on the overall business.

The point is that whereas we have a relatively progressive law on local content, we need to cut our coat according to our, bit what we can chew so that we do not frustrate inward investment but at the same time grow our capacity to take up more of a stake in the industry.


(APRIL 2017)

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

OIL: WE NEED TO GET OUR ACT TOGETHER… YESTERDAY

(Published February, 2017) We are on the cusp of an important period in the history of this country and whether we can derive maximum advantage from this will depend on our capacity to put aside petty rivalries and come together as the business community. Over the next three years at least $20b or almost the size of the entire economy will be spent in readying us for first oil. This money will be spent on building infrastructure in the oil bearing areas of western Uganda, on our side of the oil pipeline to the Tanzanian port of Tanga, on the oil refinery and any number of things that will be needed to support oil production. About $3b (sh11trillion) was spent during the exploration phase of which less than three in every ten shillings   or about sh3trillion went to local contractors and suppliers. But this happened over eight years. This despite our local disorganisation and ignorance of the industry and its dynamics. However we should not be content with t...

ARE WE HELPLESS TO DO ANYTHING ABOUT THE CARNAGE ON OUR ROADS?

Recently there was a horrific crash between a passenger bus and sand laden Isuzu truck on the Masaka-Kampala highway. To look at the pictures of the aftermath it is a miracle that only two were killed and 20 injured in the accident, which it is reported was a head-on collision between the two vehicles. We don’t go a week without news of a major accident on our trunk roads. I suspect that a combination of poorly maintained vehicles, improperly trained or inexperienced drivers, driving at break neck speeds are to blame. "A few months ago, there was a suggestion that the new paved roads were not properly designed and therefore causing the accidents, but I think that is a case of poor workmen blaming their tools.... If one was to buy this argument, what about the argument that we had fewer accidents when our roads were pot holed and it would take whole days travelling journeys that now take a few hours? So, we should we go back to our potholed roads? "Accord...

OUR WOMEN AMONG THE BEST ENTREPRENEURS BUT…

A study carried out in 57 countries around the world established that Ugandan women are among the most entrepreneurial in the world. The 2018 Mastercard Index of Women’s Entrepreneurship released last week showed that one in three businesses or 33.8 percent of businesses in this country belong to women. Our women were third behind their counterparts in Ghana, 44.4 percent and Russia, 34.6 percent. Survey after survey has shown that Uganda is one of the most entrepreneurial counties in the world, so it should come as little surprise that our women are among the most entrepreneurial in the world.  This does not in any way take away from their own initiative and resilience in surviving our competitive business environment. Our entrepreneurialism was forced upon us by the hard times we faced as a nation in the 1970s and 1980s, when few if any salaries could carry families through the month. For the majority of us who did not have the option of leaving the country...

GIVE OUR TRAFFIC POLICE A CHANCE

Last week during an investor interaction   Kampala Capital City Authority (KCCA) officials called on police to stop overriding traffic lights while directing traffic. KCCA argues that the traffic lights are large investment and it makes no sense for police to countermand them. In a classic case of “The importance of the river was not known till it dried up” on Friday the traffic police desisted from directing cars at the traffic lights leading to the worst traffic snarl-up in the city’s history. People were stuck in traffic jams around the city for hours and long into the night. Maybe it was the unhappy coincidence of the traditional Friday traffic and pre-Christmas excitement but without the traffic police directing traffic it was a mess. They made their point. It of course points to the bigger issue of a revamping of Kampala’s road network, which has remained   largely the same since independence but with an exponential increase in cars in the last three...

KEEP UP PRESSURE ON CORRUPTION

There has been a flurry of activity surrounding corruption in recent weeks, with a few public officials caught red handed taking bribes. The public deprived of services because of a few greedy individuals are understandably gleeful.  However they are also those who are a bit sceptical, wondering whether this campaign will last or will peter out along the way. It is heartening to see that President Yoweri Museveni has put his full weight behind the latest attempt and provides a positive signal to all parties concerned. He should be supported by every well-meaning Ugandan so that this drive does not fizzle out in a few weeks. I choose to be optimistic about this anti-corruption drive, because rolling back the endemic that corruption has become, is one of the first steps we need to take towards attaining middle income status as a nation and for any other meaningful development we hope to see in the future. We see it in our daily lives. Beyond the moralit...

A STITCH IN TIME

Last week the Bank of Uganda raised its key Central Bank Rate (CBR) a percentage point to ten percent from nine percent. This was the first increase in more than a year, a move prompted by BOU’s projection that price increases coming around the corner. Increasing oil prices, a weaker shilling and new taxes on mobile money services were cited as reason for this anticipated increase. We know that in the last year or so there has been a cash squeeze, money has been hard to come by. While the economy has been growing this has not been spread around evenly. It was hoped that if the economy can keep growing we can all begin to feel the joy. The Bank of Uganda has helped on this front by lowering its CBR from a high of 21 percent about seven years ago when inflation hit record levels. This allowed more borrowing by the private sector which has helped keep our economy ticking. But just when the economy was beginning to gain traction BOU has slammed on the brakes. We may ...

LET US GIVE SMEs A CHANCE

Something is wrong when most of Ugandan business is shut out of the government procurement process. This is happening in Uganda today. Micro-, Small & Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) account for 90 percent of the private sector. These account for 65 percent of national output (GDP). On the other hand 75 percent of our now sh32trillion national budget is earmarked for public procurement but the MSMEs’ share of this action is only 15 percent. It does not take a rocket scientist to see that such numbers are behind the huge inequalities in our society and why the majority of us do not have hope of a better and brighter future. Thankfully this is not an insurmountable problem. If MSMEs had access to more opportunities accruing from the national budget the benefits to themselves and to the nation as a whole would be huge. These would include increased production which would lead to job creation, raise incomes at household levels, leading to reduced income ine...