Skip to main content

LOCAL CONTENT IS NOT A DONE DEAL, WE NEED TO DO MORE


This year’s “Oil & Gas Convention & Regional Logistics Expo2017” has just concluded after three days of discussion, exploration and soul searching.

First oil in Uganda is expected by 2020 and this Expo among other efforts are targeted at getting our local businessmen ready to take advantage of this historical development.

At the risk of sounding like a broken record, the discovery and eventual exploitation of our oil resource is one of those once in a generation events, that can transform this nation, not only on a macro level but also in our individual lives.

For starters at least $20b will be spent over the next three years in infrastructure development and other things that will ensure we are ready to pipe and refine our oil.

During the exploration phase about $3b was spent by the international oil companies, with on three in every ten dollars being retained here. That was an exploration phase and one hopes that we have learnt enough from that period to be able to retain more of the money that will be spent in coming years.

For starters there is a law in place that makes some provision specifically for local content as far as suppliers, employment and training and technological transfer.

The  Petroleum (National Content) Regulation 2016 for both the upstream – exploration, development and production and the mid-stream – Refining, conversion, transmission and mid-stream storage, were passed last year.

Further encouragement will come from evaluation of companies involved in the industry and their commitment to promoting local content. According to the law 10 percent of the evaluation score will depend on this.

In the same law it is provided that in joint ventures between local businessmen and foreigners in the industry the Ugandan partners must control at least 48 percent of the joint venture equity.

Speaking from my experience in working with foreign companies, while the spirit of this clause was good it is not very practical in our current circumstances.

For example, if a business required an equity  injection of $2m (sh7.3b) there are very few people with the financial muscle or  needed capacity locally,  to manage a project of that magnitude. This has negative implications for the sector in that it may frustrate investors and delay exploitation a bit longer.

No one is going to dish out 48 percent of their company free. At best they may give us a carry stake of at most three percent, just to satisfy some local participation requirements.

There are a few things that mitigate against such generosity from investing companies. 

In other countries like Angola, Nigeria and Equatoria Guinea for that matter which have a shore line, evacuating the oil is less costly than it will be for us. The higher costs cuts down investor margins and making it less likely that they will entertain freeloaders.

In South Africa because of their unique history more leeway was given to local investors under the Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) program.

The realistic thing is for our businessmen to look to creating meaningful linkages where they can benefit not only from the returns from the business but also from technology transfer and benchmarking their business processes against best practice.

For me the key will be how are these law operationalised by the technocrats and regulators.

For instance already incorporated in the law but a company’s fitness for a contract should be judged on a sliding scale on its commitment to local content promotion. The more local content a company has in terms of local equity partnership, employment of Ugandans, utilisation of local goods and services and technological transfer, the better chance it will have to win contracts in the industry.

But also in addition some smaller projects such as waste management and basic logistics should be ring-fenced for local businessmen.

However there should be encouragement for local business to increase their local content participation to the magic 48 percent over time without impinging on the overall business.

The point is that whereas we have a relatively progressive law on local content, we need to cut our coat according to our, bit what we can chew so that we do not frustrate inward investment but at the same time grow our capacity to take up more of a stake in the industry.


(APRIL 2017)

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

SPORTS AS AN ANALOGY FOR BUSINESS

Like everybody else I know, my spirit was lifted by the success of our athletes at the World Athletics Championships last week. The diminutive Halima Nakaayi showed the heart of a lion, sprinting over the last 100m of the women’s 800m event to snatch victory from a more favoured American runner. It was so uplifting to watch. Subsequent stories about the challenges she has had to overcome to get where she is now were testament to the determination of the woman. Joshua Cheptegei’s victory, while no less inspiring, had a different quality to it. Cheptegei was the man to watch going into the event. He won previously at the Commonwealth Games last year and the in the just concluded Golden League. He was a silver medalist in the 10,000m at the last World Championships in London, pipped to the tape by the now retired Mo Farah. Cheptgei still had to battle the Kenyans and the Ethiopians all the way. But as a favourite he lived up to expectations, which sometimes is more diffic...

WE NEED FASTER TURN AROUND ON OUR ROAD PROJECTS

During a recent trip to China I was shocked to find properly paved roads and first class infrastructure deep in the countryside, hundreds of kilometres away from the capital, Beijing. I rode the high-speed railway out of Beijing, doing more than 300 kilometres per hour and I can attest I have never been on anything like it anywhere in the world. Not in Europe. Not in the States. Nowhere. I was blown away and wondered why we can’t at least do a tenth of this at home. I have to say I was pleasantly surprised when I used the Entebbe Expressway from the airport. I was in Kampala in under an hour. The Entebbe road had become a nightmare. I was shaken out of my good feeling when I had to make a trip to Tororo the other day. On my way back I spent two and half hours between Mukono and Kampala, about the same time it took me from Tororo up to Mukono. Clearly there is a lot of work to be done on our transport infrastructure. The full extent we probably don’t appreciate,...

CONGRATULATIONS ON YOUR GRADUATION, ITS NOW TIME TO WORK….

Thousands of students will be graduating from their respective universities in coming days and months. Makerere, our country’s oldest university will kick off its ceremonies on January 15th and the other universities will follow. The graduates have already had a taste of the real life, having finished their studies mid last year and tried to get employed. Many know by now that the world can be harsh and unforgiving. I hope many are tightening their belts in readiness for the struggle ahead. Some may have decided to kick the tin down the road by continuing with school. And others may have given up altogether. My prayer is that there are more of the first and less of the last kind. In talking to young people, I find that what is needed is a reorientation of their minds – a mindset change. Let me share with you certain facts to help manage their expectations of the world and how they can fulfil their potential in our context. First of all, the world owes you ...

ARE WE HELPLESS TO DO ANYTHING ABOUT THE CARNAGE ON OUR ROADS?

Recently there was a horrific crash between a passenger bus and sand laden Isuzu truck on the Masaka-Kampala highway. To look at the pictures of the aftermath it is a miracle that only two were killed and 20 injured in the accident, which it is reported was a head-on collision between the two vehicles. We don’t go a week without news of a major accident on our trunk roads. I suspect that a combination of poorly maintained vehicles, improperly trained or inexperienced drivers, driving at break neck speeds are to blame. "A few months ago, there was a suggestion that the new paved roads were not properly designed and therefore causing the accidents, but I think that is a case of poor workmen blaming their tools.... If one was to buy this argument, what about the argument that we had fewer accidents when our roads were pot holed and it would take whole days travelling journeys that now take a few hours? So, we should we go back to our potholed roads? "Accord...

THE KEYS TO OUR HEALTH ARE WITHIN OUR REACH

I prefer to speak about business. But it is obvious to me as it should be to everybody, that the fruits of business can’t be enjoyed without good health. As we progress in age we need to take care of our health more than before, focus on prevention because our bodies can no longer bounce back from illness as fast as they used to. The other day I happened upon a Facebook video from Dr Luke Coutinho, an Indian doctor who treats cancer patients. He made a wonderful video that moved me -- “Four things people with cancer have in common.” Look it up. Coutinho, in the video said that when he looked at the data from hundreds of patients, from all over the world, that had been treated at his facility he found four commonalities. The first one he said was chronic constipation. He explained that constipation, infrequent bowel movement, means the body is retaining toxins that should not be there. These toxins then find their way back into our bodies and provide the environment fo...

UMEME A RECOGNISED SUCCESS BUT …

  Recently the World Bank did a survey of the power utilities on the continent. Of the 39 utilities surveyed only two, in Uganda – Umeme and in Seychelles, were able to cover their operating costs and capital expenditures – maintenance and expansion of the grid. The report went on to point out that only 19 or about half of the surveyed utilities were able to meet their everyday costs like salaries. Essentially most of our power utilities on the continent are technically bankrupt. This has far reaching ramifications for the industry as a whole. When you, the client, pays your bill, Umeme then passes money up the line to pay the transmission and generation companies. If Umeme does not collect the revenues due to it or does not price the power at an appropriate rate, the pain will be felt up and down the sector. The transmission company would not be able to maintain and extend its network and the generation company would not be able to generate efficiently or build ...

NOT ONLY THE HARDWARE BUT THE SOFTWARE TOO

In the middle of September the United Nations released its annual Human Development Indicator (HDI). This index serves as an indicator of the quality of life of a country’s people by measuring the health, education, inequality, poverty and security standards. Aside from the statistical measures of development like GDP growth, this is obviously a better measure of how people are actually doing. In this year’s HDI report Uganda was ranked 162 out of 189 countries with a HDI score of 0.516. The index goes from zero to one, the nearer you are to one the better. Our score puts us in the low human development category. But as bad as that sounds we have been worse. In 1990, the earliest year that these figures were compiled our score was 0.311 even the UN recognises that we have improved 66 percent in the last three decades. According to the UN figures life expectancy has risen to 60.2 years   from 45.5 in 1990; expected years of schooling has doubled to 11.6 fr...