Skip to main content

LOCAL CONTENT IS NOT A DONE DEAL, WE NEED TO DO MORE


This year’s “Oil & Gas Convention & Regional Logistics Expo2017” has just concluded after three days of discussion, exploration and soul searching.

First oil in Uganda is expected by 2020 and this Expo among other efforts are targeted at getting our local businessmen ready to take advantage of this historical development.

At the risk of sounding like a broken record, the discovery and eventual exploitation of our oil resource is one of those once in a generation events, that can transform this nation, not only on a macro level but also in our individual lives.

For starters at least $20b will be spent over the next three years in infrastructure development and other things that will ensure we are ready to pipe and refine our oil.

During the exploration phase about $3b was spent by the international oil companies, with on three in every ten dollars being retained here. That was an exploration phase and one hopes that we have learnt enough from that period to be able to retain more of the money that will be spent in coming years.

For starters there is a law in place that makes some provision specifically for local content as far as suppliers, employment and training and technological transfer.

The  Petroleum (National Content) Regulation 2016 for both the upstream – exploration, development and production and the mid-stream – Refining, conversion, transmission and mid-stream storage, were passed last year.

Further encouragement will come from evaluation of companies involved in the industry and their commitment to promoting local content. According to the law 10 percent of the evaluation score will depend on this.

In the same law it is provided that in joint ventures between local businessmen and foreigners in the industry the Ugandan partners must control at least 48 percent of the joint venture equity.

Speaking from my experience in working with foreign companies, while the spirit of this clause was good it is not very practical in our current circumstances.

For example, if a business required an equity  injection of $2m (sh7.3b) there are very few people with the financial muscle or  needed capacity locally,  to manage a project of that magnitude. This has negative implications for the sector in that it may frustrate investors and delay exploitation a bit longer.

No one is going to dish out 48 percent of their company free. At best they may give us a carry stake of at most three percent, just to satisfy some local participation requirements.

There are a few things that mitigate against such generosity from investing companies. 

In other countries like Angola, Nigeria and Equatoria Guinea for that matter which have a shore line, evacuating the oil is less costly than it will be for us. The higher costs cuts down investor margins and making it less likely that they will entertain freeloaders.

In South Africa because of their unique history more leeway was given to local investors under the Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) program.

The realistic thing is for our businessmen to look to creating meaningful linkages where they can benefit not only from the returns from the business but also from technology transfer and benchmarking their business processes against best practice.

For me the key will be how are these law operationalised by the technocrats and regulators.

For instance already incorporated in the law but a company’s fitness for a contract should be judged on a sliding scale on its commitment to local content promotion. The more local content a company has in terms of local equity partnership, employment of Ugandans, utilisation of local goods and services and technological transfer, the better chance it will have to win contracts in the industry.

But also in addition some smaller projects such as waste management and basic logistics should be ring-fenced for local businessmen.

However there should be encouragement for local business to increase their local content participation to the magic 48 percent over time without impinging on the overall business.

The point is that whereas we have a relatively progressive law on local content, we need to cut our coat according to our, bit what we can chew so that we do not frustrate inward investment but at the same time grow our capacity to take up more of a stake in the industry.


(APRIL 2017)

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

COME HELP BEAT BACK HIV/AIDS

Uganda has made tremendous strides in containing the AIDS pandemic. For some of us who were around in the 1980s and saw the worst effects of the AIDS pandemic, the way the country has contained the disease is not what we had envisaged back then. Ignorance, stigma and lack of drugs surrounding the disease saw thousands die horrible deaths – wasting away, tortured by opportunistic diseases and being shirked by family and a society out fear.  The doomsayers were projecting a major fall in our population, a collapse of the economy and a total breakdown of social cohesion. That the country is still around and fighting back the disease successfully, could not have been envisaged in those scary days of the 1980s when the disease came into the public conscious. Thankfully rather than sweep the problem under the carpet like many of the neighbouring countries, President Yoweri Museveni led a fight back against AIDS that had at its core widespread dissemination of infor...

A SHIFT AWAY FROM AGRICULTURE IS CRITICAL FOR UGANDA

Anyone who has half a stake in this country would be a keen observer of the economy and the direction it is taking. In the last three decades the economy has shown strong growth, only slowing to overcome bad weather, a global financial crisis or unrest in the region. Compared to when I started out in business, it has become a more liberal economy, with individual initiative being rewarded more and more. While the economy is still dominated by the informal sector, the formal sector is growing annually. But the biggest shift in the economy has to be the reduction in agriculture’s share of the economy from more than 80 percent to about 25 percent today. This has happened despite the leap in the production of everything from bananas to coffee or from milk to maize. What has happened is that more of the economy – though not nearly enough, has been taken up by industry, construction and services. This is how it should be and in fact, more work is needed in shifting t...

CONGRATULATIONS ON YOUR GRADUATION, ITS NOW TIME TO WORK….

Thousands of students will be graduating from their respective universities in coming days and months. Makerere, our country’s oldest university will kick off its ceremonies on January 15th and the other universities will follow. The graduates have already had a taste of the real life, having finished their studies mid last year and tried to get employed. Many know by now that the world can be harsh and unforgiving. I hope many are tightening their belts in readiness for the struggle ahead. Some may have decided to kick the tin down the road by continuing with school. And others may have given up altogether. My prayer is that there are more of the first and less of the last kind. In talking to young people, I find that what is needed is a reorientation of their minds – a mindset change. Let me share with you certain facts to help manage their expectations of the world and how they can fulfil their potential in our context. First of all, the world owes you ...

LET US GIVE SMEs A CHANCE

Something is wrong when most of Ugandan business is shut out of the government procurement process. This is happening in Uganda today. Micro-, Small & Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) account for 90 percent of the private sector. These account for 65 percent of national output (GDP). On the other hand 75 percent of our now sh32trillion national budget is earmarked for public procurement but the MSMEs’ share of this action is only 15 percent. It does not take a rocket scientist to see that such numbers are behind the huge inequalities in our society and why the majority of us do not have hope of a better and brighter future. Thankfully this is not an insurmountable problem. If MSMEs had access to more opportunities accruing from the national budget the benefits to themselves and to the nation as a whole would be huge. These would include increased production which would lead to job creation, raise incomes at household levels, leading to reduced income ine...

SPORTS AS AN ANALOGY FOR BUSINESS

Like everybody else I know, my spirit was lifted by the success of our athletes at the World Athletics Championships last week. The diminutive Halima Nakaayi showed the heart of a lion, sprinting over the last 100m of the women’s 800m event to snatch victory from a more favoured American runner. It was so uplifting to watch. Subsequent stories about the challenges she has had to overcome to get where she is now were testament to the determination of the woman. Joshua Cheptegei’s victory, while no less inspiring, had a different quality to it. Cheptegei was the man to watch going into the event. He won previously at the Commonwealth Games last year and the in the just concluded Golden League. He was a silver medalist in the 10,000m at the last World Championships in London, pipped to the tape by the now retired Mo Farah. Cheptgei still had to battle the Kenyans and the Ethiopians all the way. But as a favourite he lived up to expectations, which sometimes is more diffic...

CRYPTOCURRENCIES ARE COMING, ARE WE READY?

In the last few decades in Uganda we have seen the currency become so worthless a large part of the population resorted to barter trade – exchanging goods for goods. Then the currency stabilized and we enjoyed having money in our pockets. Our money habits continue to evolve. Increasingly we don’t need physical cash to do our business.  Debit cards, mobile money and e-banking services are pushing us fast towards a cashless society. And now we are moving into a more intangible space – cryptocurrency. "As I understand them these are digital currencies, generated using encryption techniques, that also verify fund transfers. Also that no central bank is involved in creating or regulating these currencies... The more widely known cryptocurrency, Bitcoin was launched in July 2010 and its fate has been at best back ground noise to many of us, if at all. it has registered some limited attention but mainly for   speculative gains. In recent years it has seen ju...