In recent weeks the issues of financing for business has
been in the news, in one form or the other.
We have seen the challenge a past minister is facing with
having to hang onto his home. The case is in court, so we can’t discuss its merits
and demerits, just to say he may have fallen prey to some predatory practices,
with the lender skirting dangerously on the edge of the law.
Across the border in Kenya a cap on bank lending rates has
been repealed. Three years ago Kenya’s parliament passed a law restricting
lending rates to two percentage points above the rate at which the central bank
lent money. In reaction banks pulled back their lending to businesses,
depressing the economy and prompting the reversal. So now banks can “properly”
price their loans, often to the discomfort of small and medium sized
businesses.
The two incidents are related and speak to the availability
and cost of credit.
In my business career I have benefitted immensely from credit. It is next to impossible to expand or take advantage of opportunities that come up without the availability of credit. Onlookers may counsel against borrowing, but growth, which the lending facilitates is a means of survival in the business world. If you are not growing to take advantage of economies of scale, it’s only a matter of time before a bigger shark enters the market and brushes you aside or swallows you whole.
In my mind there are two major and interrelated reasons for
our current state of affairs.
To begin with our banking sector is dominated by commercial
banks. Commercial banks are tailored to serve companies that have strong
cashflows, in need of short term funding to tide them over temporary
difficulties. Hence their high lending rates and short loan recovery periods.
Where does that leave start up entrepreneurs or promoters of
long term projects like manufacturing or for farmers, whose finance needs are
unique?
In theory there is no place for them in this market. In practice they tend to risk taking on short term loans to finance long term projects, hoping to refinance or square the equation along the way. Many times it does not work out.
Government should find a way to encourage financiers along
the whole length of a business development cycle.
Can we have small business finance providers? Can we have
venture capital funds to come and take these small businesses to the next
level? Can we encourage private equity funds to set up shop here to take
established businesses to an even higher level? Investment bankers who can
broker bigger deals here and abroad? Development finance institutions to underwrite
the mega infrastructure and manufacturing deals? What about an agricultural
bank?
There needs to be a way that government can proactively encourage
these players to come here. They would not only provide tailored financing but
would even improve our business practices.
The second challenge for our banking sector is that it is
dominated by foreign institutions.
As it stands now the top ten banks account for just over 70% of After tax profits in the 24-bank industry, while a third of the banks controlled 77% of the operating assets. This points to a highly concentrated market where a few players control a disproportionate share of the assets and take home most of the profit.
This picture is aggravated further by 80% of these dominant
banks being foreign. In Kenya the situation is not as lopsided with Kenya
Commercial Bank, Equity Bank and Cooperative Bank among the top banks.
This is not ideal nor desirable. The logic is a simple one.
Local banks or companies tend to retain more of their monies in country. This
particularly important in the case of banks. With stronger balance sheets local
banks are likely to innovate more – they can’t have that money lying around
doing nothing and even invest more locally. Foreign banks report to offices
abroad for which Uganda is often a small part of a much larger picture.
There are historical reasons for this, government had run down the Uganda Commercial Bank (UCB) and had to flog it to save it and the industry as a whole, as well as the challenges faced by indigenous bank owners to stay afloat in a highly competitive sector.
That should not stop government from encouraging locally
financial institutions. Efforts over the last decade to boost Uganda
Development Bank’s share capital – the target is to build it up to sh500b, are
welcome although painstakingly slow.
One other thing is that government needs to encourage them
mobilisation of savings. NSSF is doing a
commendable job and its strategic role in the economy notwithstanding, a
leveling of the playing field for other players may attract more savings and
lower the cost of money generally.
It’s hard to over emphasise the need for greater
availability and affordability of credit in any economy and we shouldn’t wait
for disaster to strike before we do anything.
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