Skip to main content

BEWARE OF THE CON MAN


I read with a mixture of horror and sympathy for the victims of the latest Ponzi scheme gone bad in town.

Last week a company, Global Cryptocurrencies Ltd, collapsed and along with it went billions of shillings, by police estimates, of their clients’ money.

The company working out of an obscure office on Namirembe road, managed to rope in all manner of clients with the promise of magical returns – 40% a week! I have been in business for most of my life, if I could be guaranteed 40% week I would sell everything I own and jump in with both feet.

Or maybe not. And this is why.

They say if anything is too good to be true, it is. If you can get an annual return of 40% on your investment you will be doing extremely well. So if you put in a million shillings in your business and walk away at the end of the year with sh400,000 after taxes you have found a good thing, and I would like to be your friend.

I have seen my share of scam artists and con men. Below are my fast and ready rules of separating the wheat from the chaff.

The first red flag is often the rate of return the promoters are promising. Normal businesses return half or less in a year what the Global Cryptocurrencies were promising in a week. So if someone offers you a deal of even one percent a week or about 52% a year, which could also add up to 67% year if the return is compounded. That should be you first red flag...

But assuming the promoter has such a smooth tongue and you listen to him past this first hurdle, find out how they hope to make those returns.

So for example he might tell you he is going to get sugar at a very low price, say sh1000 a kilo, sell it to the shops for sh3000 a kilo. The promise being that you will share the sh2000 profit. If you are a good negotiator you could probably split it 70% to you and leave them 30%,  after all you are carrying all the risk. Meaning your share of the profit would be sh1400 on every kilo.

First off you need to determine the source of that cheap sugar. Is it legal? It’s a rule of thumb that high returns come from high risk and what is riskier than engaging in criminal activity?

If by some miracle you are still around, you haven’t run a mile from these snake oil salesmen, try to find out about them – who they are, who knows them, who do you trust who can vouch for them. Look beyond their sharp suits – they are often well turned out, foreign accents and big spending ways.

It is safe to say, there is a scam going on everyday somewhere around us. The promoters of these scams prey on our belief in fairy tales, about how tons of money can be made with little upfront payment, quickly and with no effort....

We are seduced by tales of going underwater or sacrifices to the gods to explain how such, such and the other made it.

“Remember him?” they ask “He used to be with us and then suddenly he was rich... He banged a deal …. Black dollars ….”

Often times when you see a genuinely rich person, you are looking at the finished product. You should be asking about their story, how long it took to get to where they are, what they did, their struggles, sleepless nghts and the days without food they had to endure before they made it.

Money has its rules and these often entail hard work, financial discipline – don’t spend more than you earn and tipper fulls of patience and perseverance.

If you take nothing else from the above know this, there are no shortcuts. Anyone offering you a short cut to wealth and fame, is taking you for a ride and you best turn them a deaf ear. Better still run for the hills and as far from them as possible.

Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A SHIFT AWAY FROM AGRICULTURE IS CRITICAL FOR UGANDA

Anyone who has half a stake in this country would be a keen observer of the economy and the direction it is taking. In the last three decades the economy has shown strong growth, only slowing to overcome bad weather, a global financial crisis or unrest in the region. Compared to when I started out in business, it has become a more liberal economy, with individual initiative being rewarded more and more. While the economy is still dominated by the informal sector, the formal sector is growing annually. But the biggest shift in the economy has to be the reduction in agriculture’s share of the economy from more than 80 percent to about 25 percent today. This has happened despite the leap in the production of everything from bananas to coffee or from milk to maize. What has happened is that more of the economy – though not nearly enough, has been taken up by industry, construction and services. This is how it should be and in fact, more work is needed in shifting t...
Post a Comment
Read more

GIVE OUR TRAFFIC POLICE A CHANCE

Last week during an investor interaction   Kampala Capital City Authority (KCCA) officials called on police to stop overriding traffic lights while directing traffic. KCCA argues that the traffic lights are large investment and it makes no sense for police to countermand them. In a classic case of “The importance of the river was not known till it dried up” on Friday the traffic police desisted from directing cars at the traffic lights leading to the worst traffic snarl-up in the city’s history. People were stuck in traffic jams around the city for hours and long into the night. Maybe it was the unhappy coincidence of the traditional Friday traffic and pre-Christmas excitement but without the traffic police directing traffic it was a mess. They made their point. It of course points to the bigger issue of a revamping of Kampala’s road network, which has remained   largely the same since independence but with an exponential increase in cars in the last three...
Post a Comment
Read more

WE NEED A BETTER SOLUTION FOR KAMPALA TRAFFIC

I am sure I am not the only one feeling it. Kampala’s traffic is becoming increasingly unbearable. Even the removal of roundabouts around the city seem to have an opposite effect to the intended purpose of easing traffic flow in the city. Kampala Capital City Authority (KCCA) has an ambitious plan of flyovers, underground tunnels and railway transport, which should help the cause, I hope. The snarl ups that we are coming fast accustomed to, are not only an issue of teeth grinding inconvenience but have a real cost on our economy by hampering and increasing the cost of doing business. A recent World Bank report suggests that as an economy, we are losing about sh3trillion annually due to traffic jams. The losses come in form of delayed deliveries, higher fuel consumption and the health consequences of seating in a smoke filled environment. To put this in perspective this is the combined budget of the health, agriculture and ICT ministries in this year’s budget. Or ...
Post a Comment
Read more

COME HELP BEAT BACK HIV/AIDS

Uganda has made tremendous strides in containing the AIDS pandemic. For some of us who were around in the 1980s and saw the worst effects of the AIDS pandemic, the way the country has contained the disease is not what we had envisaged back then. Ignorance, stigma and lack of drugs surrounding the disease saw thousands die horrible deaths – wasting away, tortured by opportunistic diseases and being shirked by family and a society out fear.  The doomsayers were projecting a major fall in our population, a collapse of the economy and a total breakdown of social cohesion. That the country is still around and fighting back the disease successfully, could not have been envisaged in those scary days of the 1980s when the disease came into the public conscious. Thankfully rather than sweep the problem under the carpet like many of the neighbouring countries, President Yoweri Museveni led a fight back against AIDS that had at its core widespread dissemination of infor...
Post a Comment
Read more

WELL DONE UGANDA REVENUE AUTHORITY BUT …

Over the weekend President Yoweri Museveni commissioned the new head office of the Uganda Revenue Authority, an imposing structure that is set to dominate the Nakawa skyline for some time to come. Congratulations are in order to URA for the construction of such an aesthetically appealing building, which I hope wills set the pace for other developments not only in the area but in Kampala and even Uganda as a whole. I know the pride that comes with having completed such a massive build for the initiators and implementors. The new 22-story structure has allowed the tax man to fold back all his offices from around the city back to the head office, a move they estimate will save them sh7b annually. Using simple math the sh140b will pay for itself in 20 years. The move is seen as precursor to a government move to build a ministerial compound in Bwebajja, where all ministries will be relocated sometime in the future. I have seen comments that such actions are evidence that...
Post a Comment
Read more

NOT ONLY THE HARDWARE BUT THE SOFTWARE TOO

In the middle of September the United Nations released its annual Human Development Indicator (HDI). This index serves as an indicator of the quality of life of a country’s people by measuring the health, education, inequality, poverty and security standards. Aside from the statistical measures of development like GDP growth, this is obviously a better measure of how people are actually doing. In this year’s HDI report Uganda was ranked 162 out of 189 countries with a HDI score of 0.516. The index goes from zero to one, the nearer you are to one the better. Our score puts us in the low human development category. But as bad as that sounds we have been worse. In 1990, the earliest year that these figures were compiled our score was 0.311 even the UN recognises that we have improved 66 percent in the last three decades. According to the UN figures life expectancy has risen to 60.2 years   from 45.5 in 1990; expected years of schooling has doubled to 11.6 fr...
Post a Comment
Read more